Economists are starting to model the effects of President-elect Donald Trump’s plans to raise tariffs, cut taxes and restrict immigration. The upshot: Inflation and interest rates are likely to be higher for at least the next two years than forecasters anticipated before the election.
The biggest threat to the world economy in the next year is the prospect that inflation turns out to be persistent, former Swiss central bank chief Philipp Hildebrand said.
The Consumer Price Index rose 2.9 percent from a year earlier, but a measure of underlying inflation was more encouraging.
The Federal Reserve has now battled high inflation for nearly four years. Economists point to the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, rising oil prices, consumer psychology, and potential tariffs as factors holding back inflation's progress.
Tariffs are a wild-card for inflation this year, but it is too soon to say what any changes will mean for the Federal Reserve, said central-bank newcomer Beth Hammack. In an interview, the Cleveland F
The Labor Department released the inflation report for December, which showed prices were up 2.9% from a year ago, in line with economists expectations and up from 2.7% in November.
The central bank’s recent infusion of financial-market brawn includes Beth Hammack, who worked for three decades at Goldman Sachs.
U.S. inflation likely worsened last month on the back of higher prices for gas, eggs, and used cars, a trend that could make it less likely that the Federal Reserve will cut its key interest rate much this year.
The Federal Reserve will soon begin its quinquennial review of the monetary policy strategy, tools and communications employed to fulfill its congressional mandate.
The Federal Reserve's premature victory lap over inflation reveals a worrisome misunderstanding of the predicament we still find ourselves in.
Gas prices rose sharply, but investors homed in on a small decline in the core CPI.