A group of Americans residing in Taiwan are seen gathering at a bar, watching streaming videos for live results of the election and the speech by Donald Trump on TV and laptops, before the final ...

The probability of the inverted yield curve ending by February 9, 2024, is 32.8%, compared to 20.4% last week. There is a 23.4% probability of negative 3-month bill rates by February 5, 2027. The ...

If the forecast on your phone has a 20% chance of measurable snow, most people just assume that it isn't going to snow because the probability is so low. This means that given an infinite number of ...

A regular traveler is planning an overseas trip but hasn't purchased her plane ticket. So she visits various websites that can predict whether the cost of her ticket will rise or fall. Two sites say ...

This week's 500,000 scenario simulation of the US Treasury yield curve shows the market is nearing an unwinding of the inverted yield phenomenon. Looking forward at the probability of inverted yields, ...

Mississippi and its coastal counties have far higher than average chances of seeing hurricane damage this season, researchers say. The three coast counties have at least a 48% chance of damage from a ...

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract Conventional statistical postprocessing techniques offer limited ability to improve the skills of probabilistic guidance for heavy ...

Americans have long been familiar with “horse race” polls that accompany elections in the United States. But since 2008, a new polling tool has gained prominence, one that not only suggests which ...

In a report summary released today Thomas McAndrew, a computational scientist and assistant professor at Lehigh University's College of Health includes probabilistic forecasts of the impact of ...